2G Spectrum Vs Telangana

Sri Krishna Committee submitting its report in two days. I believe Congress may play this politically. They could divert the focus from Spectrum to Telangana. Congress will consider the following as well.

1. Stop bleeding in AP after Jagan's departure
2. May be to offset the loss of Jagan by TRS. Note that TRS openly announced it can join Congress if Telangana dream comes true.
3. Whether to break alliance with DMK to cut losses on Spectrum
4. How to politically take advantage of Chiranjeevi and discredit Chandrababu Naidu.

Here is my expectation at this point. We will know how it plays out in coming weeks.

Congress will announce splitting of Andhra Pradesh into Andhra and Telangana. This will allow TRS to join Congress and strengthen Congress in Telangana. This will weaken considerably Jagan and Naidu in that region. They will join hands with Chiranjeevi that could provide additional strength in Andhra. There may be demonstration and violence in AP which will put 2G spectrum in the back burner. The drift in BJP on JPC will help them as well.

During this process they will either distance themselves from DMK if they decide to break the alliance. The DMK is considerably weakened now. Alternatively, Raja can be thrown under the bus, both DMK and Congress distance themselves from A. Raja. In the second situation it will scuttle AIADMK arguments. Suspending A.Raja from DMK will reveal who is winning political struggle within DMK family.

We know Raja knows lot more than what DMK family and Sonia wants him to know. If they suspend him, it may be pre-negotiated deal. They do not want him to talk during the election time.

I am pretty confident Telangana will put 2G spectrum in back burner no matter what happens in Tamil Nadu. This will also weaken opposition and hence the push towards JPC.